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沪指创出一年多的新高,后市将走向何方?

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年09月22日 12:16:00
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(大)(摩)(投)(资)(认)(为)(,周)(五)(沪)(指)(虽)(然)(突)(破)(了)(3300点)(关)(口)(的)(压)(力)(位)(,但)(是)(成)(交)(量)(没)(有)(明)(显)(放)(大)(,主)(力)(通)(过)(有)(限)(的)(资)(金)(拉)(升)(了)(可)(以)(带)(动)(指)(数)(的)(权)(重)(板)(块)(,但)(是)(如)(果)(下)(周)(指)(数)(继)(续)(向)(上)(突)(破)(的)(话)(,势)(必)(会)(面)(临)(大)(量)(的)(套)(牢)(盘)(和)(获)(利)(盘)(抛)(压)(。如)(果)(成)(交)(量)(依)(然)(没)(有)(放)(大)(,那)(么)(还)(是)(需)(要)(警)(惕)(指)(数)(回)(调)(的)(风)(险)(。
从)(下)(周)(发)(布)(的)(数)(据)(来)(看)(,8月)(31日)(国)(家)(统)(计)(局)(将)(公)(布)(8月)(份)(制)(造)(业)(、非)(制)(造)(业)(PMI数)(据)(,此)(前)(7月)(份)(的)(这)(两)(个)(数)(据)(均)(出)(现)(下)(滑)(。另)(外)(,上)(市)(公)(司)(2017年)(半)(年)(报)(的)(披)(露)(工)(作)(将)(全)(部)(完)(成)(。张)(刚)(表)(示)(,“机)(构)(投)(资)(者)(将)(对)(上)(市)(公)(司)(财)(务)(数)(据)(和)(机)(构)(持)(股)(数)(据)(进)(行)(深)(入)(研)(究)(和)(分)(析)(,交)(投)(将)(趋)(于)(清)(淡)(。预)(计)(下)(周)(大)(盘)(将)(出)(现)(调)(整)(,3300点)(整)(数)(关)(口)(将)(面)(临)(考)(验)(。”
但)(川)(财)(证)(券)(认)(为)(,短)(期)(来)(看)(,大)(盘)(难)(以)(出)(现)(大)(幅)(的)(调)(整)(,目)(前)(的)(偏)(弱)(震)(荡)(是)(短)(期)(调)(整)(,震)(荡)(调)(整)(后)(仍)(可)(能)(继)(续)(上)(行)(。
首)(先)(,基)(本)(面)(上)(,经)(济)(韧)(性)(仍)(强)(,尤)(其)(是)(供)(给)(侧)(改)(革)(的)(进)(一)(步)(推)(进)(和)(低)(库)(存)(使)(得)(制)(造)(业)(投)(资)(仍)(将)(稳)(步)(回)(升)(,购)(置)(土)(地)(面)(积)(持)(续)(回)(升)(以)(及)(棚)(改)(的)(推)(进)(使)(得)(房)(地)(产)(投)(资)(的)(回)(落)(较)(为)(缓)(慢)(,三)(季)(度)(多)(数)(周)(期)(性)(行)(业)(的)(盈)(利)(改)(善)(预)(期)(仍)(强)(;而)(流)(动)(性)(层)(面)(,尽)(管)(9月)(份)(面)(临)(短)(期)(的)(偏)(紧)(预)(期)(,但)(央)(行)(仍)(可)(能)(通)(过)(MLF、逆)(回)(购)(等)(操)(作)(维)(持)(短)(期)(的)(流)(动)(性)(,当)(前)(正)(处)(于)(重)(大)(会)(议)(之)(前)(,金)(融)(市)(场)(的)(维)(稳)(预)(期)(偏)(强)(。
其)(次)(,市)(场)(面)(上)(,尽)(管)(短)(期)(监)(管)(趋)(严)(,但)(市)(场)(情)(绪)(仍)(偏)(正)(面)(,从)(跌)(停)(个)(股)(数)(很)(少)(、涨)(停)(和)(大)(涨)(个)(股)(数)(仍)(偏)(多)(可)(以)(看)(出)(,且)(主)(线)(板)(块)(仍)(在)(金)(融)(、消)(费)(和)(周)(期)(权)(重)(中)(,这)(些)(板)(块)(的)(盈)(利)(改)(善)(预)(期)(仍)(持)(续)(,一)(旦)(调)(整)(较)(为)(充)(分)(,资)(金)(仍)(会)(集)(中)(配)(置)(,从)(而)(推)(升)(整)(体)(市)(场)(的)(风)(险)(偏)(好)(。
大)(摩)(投)(资)(认)(为)(,临)(近)(9月)(份)(,市)(场)(也)(逐)(步)(进)(入)(了)(稳)(定)(期)(,即)(使)(指)(数)(出)(现)(回)(调)(,预)(计)(幅)(度)(也)(有)(限)(。下)(周)(指)(数)(大)(概)(率)(会)(在)(3300点)(一)(线)(继)(续)(震)(荡)(消)(化)(套)(牢)(盘)(压)(力)(,预)(计)(短)(期)(还)(是)(结)(构)(性)(行)(情)(为)(主)(,操)(作)(上)(建)(议)(投)(资)(者)(可)(以)(适)(当)(增)(加)(仓)(位)(,重)(点)(关)(注)(一)(些)(超)(跌)(的)(绩)(优)(中)(小)(盘)(个)(股)(的)(补)(涨)(机)(会)(。
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